This week's most likely touchdown scorers
TouchdownPredict's touchdown model rates every quarterback, running back, wide receiver and tight end it projects for the week's games. This page shows the ten it rates highest among the games still to be played — the player, his position and team, the opponent, kickoff, the model's touchdown probability and its letter grade — and the rankings are updated through the week as the games approach.
What is on this list?
The ten players our touchdown model rates most likely to score in the NFL games still to be played this week, ranked from the top. When a game kicks off its players leave the list and the next names from the later games move up, so on a Sunday afternoon the list is about the late games and Monday night. Players who have been ruled out are left off.
What does the TD probability mean?
It is the model’s estimated chance that the player scores at least one touchdown in that game, given that he plays — the same bet an anytime touchdown scorer prop is, which a sportsbook voids when the player does not take the field. A touchdown pass does not count for the quarterback who threw it.
What does the grade mean?
Every player gets a letter grade from the model, from A+ at the top down to F, as a quick read on how strong the touchdown spot is.
How is this different from the full Touchdowns model?
This page shows the top ten. The full Touchdowns model ranks every player on the week’s slate and adds the best available odds, value plays, and the first touchdown scorer board. It is part of a TouchdownPredict subscription.