Question 1

What is a near home run?

Accepted Answer

A batted ball that stayed in the park but had home-run-quality contact behind it — a deep drive caught at the track, off the wall, or held up by the night’s conditions. The tracker logs each one live with its exit velocity, distance, direction, and the bat speed and expected batting average (xBA) behind the swing.

Question 2

What does "out in N of 30 parks" mean?

Accepted Answer

Each deep drive is overlaid against the wall distances and heights of all 30 MLB ballparks in the direction it was hit. A ball marked 24/30 would have been a home run in 24 parks — it was kept in the yard by the specific venue it was hit in, not by the quality of the contact.

Question 3

Why do near-HRs matter for home run props?

Accepted Answer

A hitter stacking 100+ mph drives that die at the warning track is producing home-run contact without the results. That gap between contact quality and outcomes tends to close, which makes the near-HR log a research signal for spotting hitters whose power is ahead of their recent homer totals.

Live MLB Near Home Run Tracker

About the Near HR Tracker

The home runs that almost happened

What is a near home run?

What does "out in N of 30 parks" mean?

Why do near-HRs matter for home run props?

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