MLB Near Home Run Tracker
Real-time tracking of batted balls that would be a home run in at least 1 of the 30 MLB ballparks.
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The home runs that almost happened
Box scores only count the balls that cleared the fence. The Near HR Tracker logs the ones that nearly did — every deep drive on today's slate, graded by a park-overlay simulation that shows how many of the 30 MLB ballparks each ball would have left. It's a live read on which hitters are making home-run contact, whether or not the park they're in gave them the result.
What is a near home run?
A batted ball that stayed in the park but had home-run-quality contact behind it — a deep drive caught at the track, off the wall, or held up by the night’s conditions. The tracker logs each one live with its exit velocity, distance, and direction.
What does "out in N of 30 parks" mean?
Each deep drive is overlaid against the wall distances and heights of all 30 MLB ballparks in the direction it was hit. A ball marked 24/30 would have been a home run in 24 parks — it was kept in the yard by the specific venue it was hit in, not by the quality of the contact.
Why do near-HRs matter for home run props?
A hitter stacking 100+ mph drives that die at the warning track is producing home-run contact without the results. That gap between contact quality and outcomes tends to close, which makes the near-HR log a research signal for spotting hitters whose power is ahead of their recent homer totals.