Through November 7, 2026, the Carolina Hurricanes have the NHL's best expected-goal share at 60.5%, and the Vancouver Canucks the lowest at 40.0%. The Carolina Hurricanes both create the most expected goals (3.65 a game) and allow the fewest (2.39). The Elite tier is made up of the Carolina Hurricanes, New Jersey Devils, Utah Mammoth, Tampa Bay Lightning, Vegas Golden Knights, Dallas Stars, Minnesota Wild and Florida Panthers.
Expected Goals For vs. Against
Through November 7, 2026. Expected goals are PuckPredict's estimate of the goals a team's shots would usually produce. Expected goals for run left to right and expected goals against bottom to top, with fewer against higher, so the best teams are in the top right. The dashed lines separate the tiers: Elite, Contender, Average, Below Average and Bottom.
Team Tiers
xGF/GP and xGA/GP are expected goals for and against per game, and xG Share is a team's share of the expected goals in its games. GF/GP, GA/GP, SF/GP and SA/GP are goals and shots on goal for and against per game, and HD Share is the share of a team's shot attempts from the high-danger area.
| Rank | Team | Tier | xGF/GP | xGA/GP | xG Share | GF/GP | GA/GP | SF/GP | SA/GP | HD Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | Elite | 3.65 | 2.39 | 60.5% | 4.11 | 2.32 | 33.32 | 22.37 | 38.9% |
| 2 | New Jersey Devils | Elite | 3.34 | 2.40 | 58.1% | 3.59 | 3.00 | 33.94 | 24.88 | 40.9% |
| 3 | Utah Mammoth | Elite | 3.47 | 2.57 | 57.4% | 3.50 | 3.50 | 29.78 | 25.00 | 39.1% |
| 4 | Tampa Bay Lightning | Elite | 3.31 | 2.62 | 55.8% | 3.75 | 3.00 | 30.50 | 24.50 | 36.1% |
| 5 | Vegas Golden Knights | Elite | 3.05 | 2.46 | 55.3% | 3.28 | 2.72 | 28.83 | 25.67 | 36.7% |
| 6 | Dallas Stars | Elite | 2.92 | 2.45 | 54.4% | 2.82 | 2.29 | 25.82 | 23.00 | 38.6% |
| 7 | Minnesota Wild | Elite | 3.22 | 2.70 | 54.3% | 3.32 | 2.26 | 29.53 | 25.58 | 38.7% |
| 8 | Florida Panthers | Elite | 3.18 | 2.68 | 54.2% | 3.24 | 3.00 | 28.71 | 24.59 | 36.5% |
| 9 | Colorado Avalanche | Contender | 3.09 | 2.68 | 53.5% | 4.00 | 3.06 | 30.39 | 27.22 | 36.7% |
| 10 | Los Angeles Kings | Contender | 2.93 | 2.66 | 52.4% | 3.00 | 3.47 | 27.93 | 27.80 | 37.9% |
| 11 | Detroit Red Wings | Contender | 3.09 | 2.83 | 52.2% | 2.61 | 3.00 | 28.83 | 25.50 | 36.3% |
| 12 | New York Rangers | Contender | 2.95 | 2.71 | 52.2% | 3.06 | 2.89 | 25.33 | 26.61 | 42.2% |
| 13 | Washington Capitals | Contender | 3.26 | 3.06 | 51.6% | 3.53 | 3.40 | 27.80 | 27.80 | 37.7% |
| 14 | St. Louis Blues | Average | 2.84 | 2.74 | 50.8% | 2.94 | 3.12 | 27.18 | 28.82 | 37.2% |
| 15 | Ottawa Senators | Average | 2.85 | 2.76 | 50.8% | 3.11 | 3.00 | 25.61 | 27.22 | 39.4% |
| 16 | Edmonton Oilers | Average | 2.70 | 2.67 | 50.4% | 4.11 | 2.94 | 25.94 | 26.33 | 38.3% |
| 17 | Boston Bruins | Average | 2.85 | 2.89 | 49.7% | 3.71 | 2.35 | 26.18 | 27.35 | 34.6% |
| 18 | Pittsburgh Penguins | Average | 2.93 | 3.03 | 49.2% | 3.24 | 3.47 | 26.94 | 27.41 | 39.4% |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | Average | 3.03 | 3.14 | 49.1% | 3.06 | 3.25 | 28.31 | 27.12 | 37.3% |
| 20 | Montréal Canadiens | Below Average | 2.88 | 3.08 | 48.3% | 3.47 | 3.12 | 27.59 | 28.35 | 36.3% |
| 21 | Nashville Predators | Below Average | 2.85 | 3.08 | 48.1% | 3.00 | 2.82 | 25.94 | 29.00 | 38.7% |
| 22 | Winnipeg Jets | Below Average | 2.87 | 3.13 | 47.8% | 2.65 | 3.53 | 27.65 | 29.06 | 37.9% |
| 23 | Toronto Maple Leafs | Below Average | 2.85 | 3.12 | 47.7% | 3.56 | 3.28 | 28.17 | 29.56 | 37.9% |
| 24 | New York Islanders | Below Average | 2.87 | 3.15 | 47.6% | 2.88 | 3.00 | 25.56 | 28.38 | 36.9% |
| 25 | Anaheim Ducks | Bottom | 2.77 | 3.28 | 45.8% | 3.76 | 3.76 | 24.94 | 26.88 | 37.4% |
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | Bottom | 2.67 | 3.17 | 45.7% | 2.53 | 3.13 | 25.60 | 27.67 | 33.2% |
| 27 | Seattle Kraken | Bottom | 2.57 | 3.10 | 45.3% | 3.44 | 3.56 | 25.50 | 30.12 | 32.6% |
| 28 | Calgary Flames | Bottom | 2.48 | 3.00 | 45.3% | 2.47 | 3.53 | 27.53 | 29.59 | 32.0% |
| 29 | Philadelphia Flyers | Bottom | 2.44 | 3.18 | 43.4% | 2.17 | 3.33 | 23.33 | 29.22 | 38.0% |
| 30 | San Jose Sharks | Bottom | 2.65 | 3.63 | 42.3% | 2.47 | 3.58 | 27.00 | 30.11 | 32.0% |
| 31 | Chicago Blackhawks | Bottom | 2.31 | 3.36 | 40.7% | 2.17 | 4.22 | 22.83 | 30.72 | 34.9% |
| 32 | Vancouver Canucks | Bottom | 2.28 | 3.42 | 40.0% | 2.89 | 4.58 | 21.84 | 31.21 | 35.7% |
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