From November 2 to November 8, 2026, 104 player props across 39 NHL games moved 4 points or more in implied probability from the open: 25 shortening and 79 drifting. The 25 biggest are below.
The biggest shortening was Brad Lambert, Points Over 0.5 (WPG @ MTL, Nov 3), from 21.3% to 46.4% (+25.1 pts). The biggest drift was Connor Murphy, Shots on Goal Over 1.5 (VAN @ EDM, Nov 7), from 47.0% to 37.5% (-9.5 pts).
Biggest Player Prop Moves
Games from November 2 to November 8, 2026, biggest move first. Shortening bars point right, drifting bars left.
| Player | Game | Market | Implied probability | Line | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Lambert | WPG @ MTL, Nov 3 | Points Over | 21.3% → 46.4% | 0.5 → 0.5 | Shortening |
| Brad Lambert | WPG @ MTL, Nov 3 | Assists Over | 15.0% → 31.6% | 0.5 → 0.5 | Shortening |
| Isak Rosen | WPG @ MTL, Nov 3 | Assists Over | 20.6% → 32.3% | 0.5 → 0.5 | Shortening |
| Tyler Toffoli | CGY @ SJS, Nov 2 | Power-Play Points Over | 21.4% → 32.5% | 0.5 → 0.5 | Shortening |
| Tyler Toffoli | CGY @ SJS, Nov 2 | Assists Over | 31.4% → 42.2% | 0.5 → 0.5 | Shortening |
| Connor Murphy | VAN @ EDM, Nov 7 | Shots on Goal Over | 47.0% → 37.5% | 1.5 → 1.5 | Drifting |
| Tyler Toffoli | CGY @ SJS, Nov 2 | Points Over | 48.4% → 57.8% | 0.5 → 0.5 | Shortening |
| Connor Murphy | ANA @ EDM, Nov 5 | Shots on Goal Over | 47.9% → 38.7% | 1.5 → 1.5 | Drifting |
| Collin Graf | CGY @ SJS, Nov 2 | Shots on Goal Over | 55.5% → 47.3% | 1.5 → 1.5 | Drifting |
| Alex Newhook | UTA @ MTL, Nov 5 | Power-Play Points Over | 25.3% → 17.0% | 0.5 → 0.5 | Drifting |
| Scott Sabourin | DET @ TBL, Nov 3 | Anytime Goal Scorer | 9.5% → 17.5% | -- | Shortening |
| Jake Guentzel | CHI @ TBL, Nov 5 | Shots on Goal Over | 65.9% → 58.2% | 2.5 → 2.5 | Drifting |
| Kevin Bahl | PHI @ CGY, Nov 8 | Anytime Goal Scorer | 8.6% → 16.1% | -- | Shortening |
| Neal Pionk | TBL @ WPG, Nov 8 | Shots on Goal Over | 55.2% → 62.6% | 1.5 → 1.5 | Shortening |
| Oliver Bonk | PHI @ NYR, Nov 5 | Shots on Goal Over | 50.7% → 43.4% | 1.5 → 1.5 | Drifting |
| Nils Lundkvist | SJS @ DAL, Nov 7 | Shots on Goal Over | 45.6% → 38.3% | 1.5 → 1.5 | Drifting |
| Jacob Trouba | CGY @ SJS, Nov 2 | Shots on Goal Over | 60.1% → 53.0% | 1.5 → 1.5 | Drifting |
| Oliver Bonk | MIN @ PHI, Nov 3 | Shots on Goal Over | 53.5% → 46.4% | 1.5 → 1.5 | Drifting |
| Collin Graf | CGY @ SJS, Nov 2 | Points Over | 44.8% → 37.8% | 0.5 → 0.5 | Drifting |
| Esa Lindell | SJS @ DAL, Nov 7 | Shots on Goal Over | 49.9% → 42.9% | 1.5 → 1.5 | Drifting |
| Laurent Brossoit | ANA @ EDM, Nov 5 | Goalie Saves Over | 57.7% → 50.8% | 25.5 → 25.5 | Drifting |
| Isak Rosen | WPG @ MTL, Nov 3 | Points Over | 30.4% → 37.3% | 0.5 → 0.5 | Shortening |
| Barrett Hayton | UTA @ OTT, Nov 7 | Shots on Goal Over | 64.3% → 57.4% | 1.5 → 1.5 | Drifting |
| Sean Kuraly | FLA @ BOS, Nov 8 | Anytime Goal Scorer | 13.1% → 19.7% | -- | Shortening |
| Leon Draisaitl | EDM @ NJD, Nov 3 | Shots on Goal Over | 66.7% → 60.1% | 2.5 → 2.5 | Drifting |
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