NFL Team Tiers - October 13, 2026
Through Week 5 of the 2026 regular season, the San Francisco 49ers have the NFL's highest net EPA per play at +0.260, and the Miami Dolphins the lowest at -0.223. The best offense belongs to the Buffalo Bills (+0.211 EPA per play) and the best defense to the Minnesota Vikings (-0.235 allowed). The Elite tier is made up of the San Francisco 49ers, Kansas City Chiefs, Jacksonville Jaguars, Minnesota Vikings and Baltimore Ravens.
The Green Bay Packers made the biggest climb since last week, up 12 places to 18th. They moved from the Bottom tier to the Average tier. The Chicago Bears fell the furthest since last week, down 8 places to 12th. They moved from the Elite tier to the Contender tier.
By record, the New York Giants (3-1-1) are furthest ahead of their play and the Houston Texans (1-4) furthest behind theirs. Over the last 4 weeks, the Los Angeles Rams have played furthest above their own season (+0.201 net EPA per play against +0.088 for the season) and the Arizona Cardinals furthest below theirs (-0.250 against -0.146). The Los Angeles Chargers have the hardest remaining schedule, their opponents averaging +0.059 net EPA per play over 12 games, and the Jacksonville Jaguars the easiest, at -0.046 over 12 games.
Offense vs. Defense
2026 regular season through Week 5. Offense runs left to right and defense bottom to top, so the best teams are in the top right. The dashed lines separate the tiers: Elite, Contender, Average, Below Average and Bottom. A tail shows where a team stood a week earlier.
Team Tiers
Every value is EPA per play. Defense is what a team's defense has allowed, so lower is better.
| Rank | Change | Team | Record | Tier | Net | Offense (Rank) | Defense (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | -- | 49ers | 5-0 | Elite | +0.260 | +0.187 (2) | -0.072 (4) |
| 2 | ▲ 1 | Chiefs | 4-0 | Elite | +0.188 | +0.157 (5) | -0.031 (10) |
| 3 | ▼ 1 | Jaguars | 4-1 | Elite | +0.178 | +0.105 (7) | -0.073 (3) |
| 4 | ▲ 3 | Vikings | 5-0 | Elite | +0.135 | -0.100 (28) | -0.235 (1) |
| 5 | -- | Ravens | 4-1 | Elite | +0.129 | +0.132 (6) | +0.002 (19) |
| 6 | ▲ 6 | Bengals | 3-2 | Contender | +0.091 | +0.068 (9) | -0.023 (12) |
| 7 | ▲ 2 | Rams | 2-3 | Contender (was Elite) | +0.088 | +0.065 (10) | -0.023 (11) |
| 8 | ▲ 3 | Panthers | 2-2 | Contender | +0.070 | +0.086 (8) | +0.016 (21) |
| 9 | ▲ 8 | Patriots | 3-2 | Contender (was Average) | +0.064 | +0.048 (11) | -0.015 (15) |
| 10 | -- | Bills | 4-1 | Contender | +0.059 | +0.211 (1) | +0.151 (30) |
| 11 | ▼ 3 | Seahawks | 3-2 | Contender (was Elite) | +0.043 | -0.070 (26) | -0.113 (2) |
| 12 | ▼ 8 | Bears | 3-2 | Contender (was Elite) | +0.034 | +0.038 (12) | +0.004 (20) |
| 13 | ▼ 7 | Raiders | 3-2 | Contender (was Elite) | +0.033 | +0.019 (13) | -0.015 (16) |
| 14 | ▲ 11 | Texans | 1-4 | Average (was Below Average) | +0.019 | +0.003 (14) | -0.016 (14) |
| 15 | ▼ 2 | Falcons | 2-3 | Average | +0.011 | -0.024 (20) | -0.035 (8) |
| 16 | ▼ 1 | Jets | 2-3 | Average | +0.010 | -0.024 (21) | -0.035 (9) |
| 17 | ▲ 1 | Lions | 3-2 | Average (was Below Average) | +0.010 | +0.176 (3) | +0.166 (31) |
| 18 | ▲ 12 | Packers | 3-2 | Average (was Bottom) | -0.004 | -0.013 (18) | -0.009 (17) |
| 19 | ▲ 1 | Broncos | 3-2 | Average (was Below Average) | -0.019 | -0.054 (24) | -0.035 (7) |
| 20 | ▲ 1 | Steelers | 3-2 | Average (was Below Average) | -0.021 | -0.023 (19) | -0.002 (18) |
| 21 | ▼ 7 | Cowboys | 2-3 | Average | -0.024 | +0.157 (4) | +0.182 (32) |
| 22 | ▲ 2 | Buccaneers | 1-4 | Below Average | -0.034 | -0.092 (27) | -0.059 (5) |
| 23 | ▼ 7 | Browns | 3-2 | Below Average (was Average) | -0.041 | -0.063 (25) | -0.022 (13) |
| 24 | ▼ 2 | Giants | 3-1-1 | Below Average | -0.055 | -0.007 (15) | +0.048 (22) |
| 25 | ▼ 6 | Commanders | 1-3-1 | Below Average | -0.058 | -0.008 (16) | +0.050 (24) |
| 26 | ▼ 3 | Colts | 2-3 | Bottom (was Below Average) | -0.105 | -0.038 (22) | +0.067 (26) |
| 27 | ▲ 2 | Saints | 1-4 | Bottom | -0.129 | -0.040 (23) | +0.089 (27) |
| 28 | -- | Chargers | 0-5 | Bottom | -0.139 | -0.192 (32) | -0.053 (6) |
| 29 | ▼ 3 | Cardinals | 1-4 | Bottom | -0.146 | -0.013 (17) | +0.133 (29) |
| 30 | ▲ 1 | Eagles | 2-3 | Bottom | -0.159 | -0.111 (29) | +0.049 (23) |
| 31 | ▼ 4 | Titans | 0-5 | Bottom | -0.193 | -0.136 (31) | +0.057 (25) |
| 32 | -- | Dolphins | 0-5 | Bottom | -0.223 | -0.118 (30) | +0.106 (28) |
Record vs. Play
Win percentage against net EPA per play. A team above the dashed line has won more than its play suggests, and a team below it has won less.
Recent Form
Each team's last 4 weeks against its season. A team above the dashed line has played better lately than over the season, and a team below it worse.
Remaining Schedule
The average net EPA per play of the opponents each team still has to play, hardest road first.
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