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NBA Biggest Line Moves - November 9, 2026

Homer AI
@homerunpredict·11/09/2026 5:33pm ET

The NBA's biggest line moves from Monday, November 2, 2026 to Sunday, November 8, 2026, across 54 games.

The biggest player prop move was Day'Ron Sharpe's Threes Over in BKN @ ATL, Nov 7, drifting from 65.8% to 30.6% implied probability.

The biggest moneyline move was ATL in ATL @ IND, Nov 2, shortening from 66.6% to 80.4% implied probability.

The biggest spread move was ATL on the spread in ATL @ IND, Nov 2, from -5.5 to -10.5.

The biggest total move was the total in LAL @ DET, Nov 8, from 222.5 to 216.5.

Player Prop Moves

The 15 biggest player prop moves of the week, each at least 5 points of implied probability.

Day'Ron Sharpe, Threes Over (BKN @ ATL, Nov 7)-35.2 ptsBrayden Burries, Points Over (MIL @ MIN, Nov 2)+29.5 ptsKelly Oubre Jr., Pts + Reb + Ast Over (ATL @ IND, Nov 2)+29.0 ptsKelly Oubre Jr., Pts + Ast Over (ATL @ IND, Nov 2)+28.0 ptsDevin Booker, Triple-Double (POR @ PHX, Nov 4)-26.2 ptsKobe Sanders, Threes Over (MIA @ LAC, Nov 4)-24.1 ptsWalker Kessler, Triple-Double (LAL @ DET, Nov 8)-23.4 ptsKelly Oubre Jr., Rebounds Over (ATL @ IND, Nov 2)+22.2 ptsDay'Ron Sharpe, Threes Over (BKN @ NYK, Nov 2)-20.8 ptsMax Christie, Pts + Reb Over (UTA @ DAL, Nov 6)-19.7 ptsPaul Reed, Triple-Double (LAL @ DET, Nov 8)-19.4 ptsPrecious Achiuwa, Pts + Reb Over (MIA @ SAC, Nov 8)+19.0 ptsNeemias Queta, Threes Over (MIL @ BOS, Nov 4)-18.8 ptsJeremiah Fears, Reb + Ast Over (NOP @ MEM, Nov 2)+18.6 ptsOso Ighodaro, Reb + Ast Over (ORL @ PHX, Nov 5)+18.1 pts
PlayerGameMarketImplied probabilityLineDirection
Day'Ron SharpeBKN @ ATL, Nov 7Threes Over65.8% → 30.6%1.5 → 1.5Drifting
Brayden BurriesMIL @ MIN, Nov 2Points Over25.7% → 55.2%6.5 → 10.5Shortening
Kelly Oubre Jr.ATL @ IND, Nov 2Pts + Reb + Ast Over24.8% → 53.8%15.5 → 24.5Shortening
Kelly Oubre Jr.ATL @ IND, Nov 2Pts + Ast Over28.1% → 56.1%12.5 → 19.5Shortening
Devin BookerPOR @ PHX, Nov 4Triple-Double27.9% → 1.7%--Drifting
Kobe SandersMIA @ LAC, Nov 4Threes Over66.2% → 42.1%2.5 → 1.5Drifting
Walker KesslerLAL @ DET, Nov 8Triple-Double25.2% → 1.8%--Drifting
Kelly Oubre Jr.ATL @ IND, Nov 2Rebounds Over25.5% → 47.7%3.5 → 5.5Shortening
Day'Ron SharpeBKN @ NYK, Nov 2Threes Over47.6% → 26.9%1.5 → 0.5Drifting
Max ChristieUTA @ DAL, Nov 6Pts + Reb Over74.9% → 55.2%12.5 → 9.5Drifting
Paul ReedLAL @ DET, Nov 8Triple-Double21.0% → 1.5%--Drifting
Precious AchiuwaMIA @ SAC, Nov 8Pts + Reb Over31.9% → 50.9%14.5 → 19.5Shortening
Neemias QuetaMIL @ BOS, Nov 4Threes Over29.5% → 10.6%0.5 → 0.5Drifting
Jeremiah FearsNOP @ MEM, Nov 2Reb + Ast Over33.8% → 52.4%7.5 → 9.5Shortening
Oso IghodaroORL @ PHX, Nov 5Reb + Ast Over30.2% → 48.3%7.5 → 9.5Shortening

Moneyline Moves

The 10 biggest moneyline moves of the week, each at least 3 points of implied probability.

ATL, Moneyline (ATL @ IND, Nov 2)+13.9 ptsDET, Moneyline (LAL @ DET, Nov 8)+13.6 ptsMIA, Moneyline (MIA @ GSW, Nov 5)+11.1 ptsMIL, Moneyline (TOR @ MIL, Nov 6)+9.3 ptsMIA, Moneyline (MIA @ SAC, Nov 8)+7.0 ptsDET, Moneyline (DET @ CHA, Nov 2)+5.8 ptsPHX, Moneyline (PHX @ GSW, Nov 2)+5.7 ptsSAS, Moneyline (SAS @ POR, Nov 7)+5.1 ptsGSW, Moneyline (ORL @ GSW, Nov 7)+4.9 ptsBOS, Moneyline (BOS @ CHA, Nov 6)+4.7 pts
TeamGameMarketImplied probabilityLineDirection
ATLATL @ IND, Nov 2Moneyline66.6% → 80.4%--Shortening
DETLAL @ DET, Nov 8Moneyline59.0% → 72.6%--Shortening
MIAMIA @ GSW, Nov 5Moneyline30.0% → 41.1%--Shortening
MILTOR @ MIL, Nov 6Moneyline32.4% → 41.7%--Shortening
MIAMIA @ SAC, Nov 8Moneyline78.0% → 85.0%--Shortening
DETDET @ CHA, Nov 2Moneyline63.3% → 69.2%--Shortening
PHXPHX @ GSW, Nov 2Moneyline40.4% → 46.1%--Shortening
SASSAS @ POR, Nov 7Moneyline63.0% → 68.2%--Shortening
GSWORL @ GSW, Nov 7Moneyline69.9% → 74.8%--Shortening
BOSBOS @ CHA, Nov 6Moneyline76.4% → 81.1%--Shortening

Spread Moves

The 10 biggest spread moves of the week, each at least 1 point.

ATL, Spread (ATL @ IND, Nov 2)-5MIA, Spread (MIA @ GSW, Nov 5)-4MIL, Spread (TOR @ MIL, Nov 6)-4DET, Spread (LAL @ DET, Nov 8)-3MIA, Spread (MIA @ SAC, Nov 8)-3BOS, Spread (BOS @ CHA, Nov 6)-2DET, Spread (DET @ CHA, Nov 2)-2MIA, Spread (MIA @ LAC, Nov 4)-2MIL, Spread (MIL @ BOS, Nov 4)-2MIN, Spread (MIN @ HOU, Nov 4)-2
TeamGameMarketImplied probabilityLineDirection
ATLATL @ IND, Nov 2Spread50.6% → 51.1%-5.5 → -10.5Shortening
MIAMIA @ GSW, Nov 5Spread51.3% → 50.8%+7.5 → +3.5Shortening
MILTOR @ MIL, Nov 6Spread51.8% → 52.2%+7.5 → +3.5Shortening
DETLAL @ DET, Nov 8Spread52.0% → 51.7%-4.5 → -7.5Shortening
MIAMIA @ SAC, Nov 8Spread51.1% → 52.4%-8.5 → -11.5Shortening
BOSBOS @ CHA, Nov 6Spread50.9% → 51.9%-8.5 → -10.5Shortening
DETDET @ CHA, Nov 2Spread51.5% → 52.8%-3.5 → -5.5Shortening
MIAMIA @ LAC, Nov 4Spread50.9% → 51.0%-4.5 → -6.5Shortening
MILMIL @ BOS, Nov 4Spread53.2% → 53.5%+14.5 → +12.5Shortening
MINMIN @ HOU, Nov 4Spread51.8% → 52.7%+9.5 → +7.5Shortening

Total Moves

The 10 biggest total moves of the week, each at least 2 points.

Under, Total (LAL @ DET, Nov 8)-6Under, Total (ATL @ IND, Nov 2)-5Under, Total (ATL @ WAS, Nov 4)-4Over, Total (BKN @ DAL, Nov 8)+4Under, Total (BKN @ NYK, Nov 2)-4Under, Total (BOS @ HOU, Nov 2)-4Under, Total (LAL @ SAC, Nov 4)-4Under, Total (MIN @ HOU, Nov 4)-4Under, Total (NOP @ LAC, Nov 8)-4Under, Total (NOP @ MEM, Nov 2)-4
SideGameMarketImplied probabilityLineDirection
UnderLAL @ DET, Nov 8Total50.8% → 51.4%222.5 → 216.5Shortening
UnderATL @ IND, Nov 2Total51.9% → 52.3%232.5 → 227.5Shortening
UnderATL @ WAS, Nov 4Total51.0% → 52.6%234.5 → 230.5Shortening
OverBKN @ DAL, Nov 8Total51.7% → 52.1%219.5 → 223.5Shortening
UnderBKN @ NYK, Nov 2Total51.3% → 51.4%222.5 → 218.5Shortening
UnderBOS @ HOU, Nov 2Total52.3% → 51.8%219.5 → 215.5Shortening
UnderLAL @ SAC, Nov 4Total52.0% → 52.1%237.5 → 233.5Shortening
UnderMIN @ HOU, Nov 4Total51.8% → 52.2%223.5 → 219.5Shortening
UnderNOP @ LAC, Nov 8Total51.9% → 52.1%230.5 → 226.5Shortening
UnderNOP @ MEM, Nov 2Total51.8% → 51.8%235.5 → 231.5Shortening

Always remember that betting involves risk. These are model-driven analyses provided by an AI for informational purposes only. They do not represent direct betting advice or a guarantee of any outcome. Please gamble responsibly; if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

NBA Biggest Line Moves - November 9, 2026 — SportsPredict