Home Run Trends - October 28, 2026

The 2026 season home-run landscape is taking shape, and the numbers tell a clear story before you dig into the tables below. Night games have outpaced day games at 2.322 HR per game versus 2.155, while Monday has quietly been the most homer-friendly day of the week at 2.492 per game — a gap worth keeping in mind as you scan the day-of-week breakdown. The season leaderboard, last-seven-days hot list, first-inning leaders, and top individual weeks are all here to show who has been doing the damage and when.

The section drawing the most attention may be the zone-5 "meatball" rates, which flag the pitchers leaving the most hittable pitches in the heart of the zone. Cole Wilcox leads that group at 10.8%, with Bennett Sousa and Trevor Megill right behind at 10.5% each, followed by Aaron Bummer at 10.0% and Yerry De los Santos at 9.9%. Everything below is descriptive of what has happened through today — use it to understand the trends driving the numbers, not as a forecast of what must come next.

Home runs by day of week

Which weekdays have produced the most home runs per game.

• Monday
  HR/game: 2.49HR: 653Games: 262
• Friday
  HR/game: 2.38HR: 933Games: 392
• Tuesday
  HR/game: 2.29HR: 848Games: 371
• Thursday
  HR/game: 2.28HR: 514Games: 225
• Sunday
  HR/game: 2.26HR: 905Games: 401
• Saturday
  HR/game: 2.24HR: 900Games: 401
• Wednesday
  HR/game: 2.18HR: 822Games: 377

Top weeks for home runs

The season's biggest home run weeks.

• 16/29/2026 - 7/5/2026
  HR: 270HR/game: 2.87Games: 94
• 26/8/2026 - 6/14/2026
  HR: 259HR/game: 2.91Games: 89
• 35/25/2026 - 5/31/2026
  HR: 249HR/game: 2.65Games: 94
• 47/6/2026 - 7/12/2026
  HR: 247HR/game: 2.55Games: 97
• 54/20/2026 - 4/26/2026
  HR: 242HR/game: 2.60Games: 93

Day vs night

How the home run rate splits between day and night games.

• Day
  HR/game: 2.15HR: 1,957Games: 908
• Night
  HR/game: 2.32HR: 3,603Games: 1,552

Pitcher meatball leaders

Pitchers grooving the most zone-5 meatballs, and the most home runs allowed on them.

Highest meatball rate

• 1Cole Wilcox (SEA)
  Meatball%: 10.8%Meatballs: 53Pitches: 492
• 2Bennett Sousa (HOU)
  Meatball%: 10.5%Meatballs: 56Pitches: 533
• 3Trevor Megill (MIL)
  Meatball%: 10.5%Meatballs: 93Pitches: 886
• 4Aaron Bummer (KC)
  Meatball%: 10.0%Meatballs: 33Pitches: 329
• 5Yerry De los Santos (NYY)
  Meatball%: 9.9%Meatballs: 36Pitches: 362
• 6Anthony Bender (MIA)
  Meatball%: 9.9%Meatballs: 54Pitches: 543
• 7Bryan Hudson (CWS)
  Meatball%: 9.9%Meatballs: 105Pitches: 1,063
• 8Beau Brieske (DET)
  Meatball%: 9.8%Meatballs: 38Pitches: 387
• 9Sammy Peralta (LAA)
  Meatball%: 9.8%Meatballs: 39Pitches: 400
• 10José A. Ferrer (SEA)
  Meatball%: 9.7%Meatballs: 107Pitches: 1,101

Most HRs allowed on meatballs

• 1Kumar Rocker (TEX)
  HR on meatballs: 10Meatballs: 170
• 2Ian Seymour (TB)
  HR on meatballs: 10Meatballs: 193
• 3Aaron Nola (PHI)
  HR on meatballs: 9Meatballs: 179
• 4Colin Rea (CHC)
  HR on meatballs: 9Meatballs: 158
• 5Seth Lugo (KC)
  HR on meatballs: 9Meatballs: 236
• 6Tomoyuki Sugano (COL)
  HR on meatballs: 9Meatballs: 189
• 7Sean Manaea (NYM)
  HR on meatballs: 9Meatballs: 203
• 8Zack Littell (ARI)
  HR on meatballs: 9Meatballs: 140
• 9Zebby Matthews (MIN)
  HR on meatballs: 9Meatballs: 165
• 10Jeffrey Springs (ATH)
  HR on meatballs: 8Meatballs: 162

Hitter meatball leaders

Hitters seeing the most zone-5 meatballs, with their home-run rate on them.

• 1Ben Rortvedt (LAD)
  Meatballs seen%: 16.0%HR rate vs meatball: 0.0%Meatballs: 16
• 2Michael Helman (TEX)
  Meatballs seen%: 14.2%HR rate vs meatball: 0.0%Meatballs: 16
• 3Andrew Pinckney (WSH)
  Meatballs seen%: 11.9%HR rate vs meatball: 7.7%Meatballs: 13
• 4Raynel Delgado (HOU)
  Meatballs seen%: 11.4%HR rate vs meatball: 0.0%Meatballs: 15
• 5Bryan De La Cruz (PHI)
  Meatballs seen%: 10.6%HR rate vs meatball: 0.0%Meatballs: 36
• 6Shay Whitcomb (SF)
  Meatballs seen%: 10.4%HR rate vs meatball: 4.3%Meatballs: 47
• 7Angel Genao (CLE)
  Meatballs seen%: 10.2%HR rate vs meatball: 0.0%Meatballs: 53
• 8Romy Gonzalez (BOS)
  Meatballs seen%: 10.1%HR rate vs meatball: 0.0%Meatballs: 29
• 9Ethan Salas (SD)
  Meatballs seen%: 10.1%HR rate vs meatball: 6.7%Meatballs: 15
• 10Jesus Rodriguez (SF)
  Meatballs seen%: 10.1%HR rate vs meatball: 0.0%Meatballs: 21

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