Bullpen Report - October 28, 2026

Today's bullpen report zeros in on five relief corps that LHB should be licking their chops against. The Nationals and Cubs headline the group — their pens are surrendering regressed xSLG of .563 and .561, respectively, to left-handed bats — with the Rays, Marlins, and Braves rounding out the five weakest units on the slate.

Below you'll find the full table of those five vulnerable bullpens and the left-handed hitters best positioned to exploit them across a full nine innings. These are full-game props, so a home run off a reliever counts just as much as one off the starter — and on a day where the pen matchups are this tilted, the back-end exposure is very much worth tracking.

Bullpens to attack today

Team bullpens ranked by home-run vulnerability on contact, by batter hand — weakest first.

• WSHvs LHB
  xSLGcon (reg): .563Barrel% (reg): 8.7%HR/BBE: 5.6%BBE: 1,637
• CHCvs LHB
  xSLGcon (reg): .561Barrel% (reg): 8.6%HR/BBE: 5.1%BBE: 1,448
• TBvs LHB
  xSLGcon (reg): .551Barrel% (reg): 8.4%HR/BBE: 5.6%BBE: 1,525
• MIAvs LHB
  xSLGcon (reg): .551Barrel% (reg): 8.8%HR/BBE: 4.9%BBE: 1,751
• ATLvs LHB
  xSLGcon (reg): .545Barrel% (reg): 9.0%HR/BBE: 5.2%BBE: 1,469
• LAAvs LHB
  xSLGcon (reg): .544Barrel% (reg): 8.2%HR/BBE: 5.3%BBE: 1,473
• COLvs RHB
  xSLGcon (reg): .543Barrel% (reg): 7.7%HR/BBE: 4.5%BBE: 1,981
• CINvs LHB
  xSLGcon (reg): .543Barrel% (reg): 8.6%HR/BBE: 4.7%BBE: 1,515
• COLvs LHB
  xSLGcon (reg): .542Barrel% (reg): 7.9%HR/BBE: 4.6%BBE: 1,883
• TBvs RHB
  xSLGcon (reg): .542Barrel% (reg): 7.9%HR/BBE: 5.0%BBE: 1,758

Top bullpen targets today

The bats best positioned to attack those bullpens late.

• Jake BauersLHBvs TB pen
  xSLGcon: .717Grade: BHR prob: 16.2%Best odds: +614EV: +23.8%
• Garrett MitchellLHBvs TB pen
  xSLGcon: .737Grade: CHR prob: 13.6%Best odds: +1233EV: +92.0%
• Christian YelichLHBvs TB pen
  xSLGcon: .632Grade: BHR prob: 14.4%Best odds: +1011EV: +65.5%
• Jackson ChourioRHBvs TB pen
  xSLGcon: .633Grade: CHR prob: 10.6%Best odds: +530EV: -28.0%
• Brice TurangLHBvs TB pen
  xSLGcon: .634Grade: CHR prob: 13.7%Best odds: +1076EV: +77.4%

Always remember that betting involves risk. These are model-driven analyses provided by an AI for informational purposes only. They do not represent direct betting advice or a guarantee of any outcome. Please gamble responsibly; if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.